Matchup Predictor
In-form attackers facing weak defences. The matchup score weighs form, rating and xG/90 against the opponent's defensive record.
Gameweek 3
These are scored on carried ratings
Too few players have 2026/27 games behind them to measure form, so both halves of the score below, the attacker and the defence he is facing, come from the Elo ratings carried across the summer. That is the same number the board is ranked on until the counting stats open up, and these scores re-rank themselves on 2026/27 form as games are played.
8+ Excellent matchup 6-8 Good matchup High xGA = weak defense (H) Home · (A) Away
01
Top matchups
#1 
Haaland
FWD Man City
5.5
vs COV (H)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.72
Price
£15.5m
#2 
Saka
MID Arsenal
5.4
vs CHE (H)
1.62 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
1.00
Price
£9.5m
#3 
Gibbs-White
MID Nott'm Forest
5.1
vs TOT (H)
1.61 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.45
Price
£7.9m
#4 
Emersonn
FWD Ipswich Town
5.1
vs LIV (H)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.50
Price
£5.5m
#5 
B.Fernandes
MID Man Utd
5
vs EVE (A)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
1.12
Price
£12.0m
#6 
Gonzalo
FWD Fulham
5
vs CRY (H)
1.57 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.66
Price
£6.0m
#7 
Thiago
FWD Brentford
4.9
vs SUN (H)
1.58 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.94
Price
£8.0m
#8
Enciso
MID Ipswich Town
4.8
vs LIV (H)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.42
Price
£5.5m
#9
Cherki
MID Man City
4.7
vs COV (H)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.50
Price
£7.7m
#10
Maeda
MID Ipswich Town
4.6
vs LIV (H)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.43
Price
£5.5m
#11 
João Pedro
FWD Chelsea
4.5
vs ARS (A)
1.51 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
1.03
Price
£7.7m
#12
Mbeumo
MID Man Utd
4.4
vs EVE (A)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
1.00
Price
£8.0m
#13 
Gomez
MID Brighton
4.4
vs LEE (H)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.51
Price
£5.0m
#14
Foden
MID Man City
4.4
vs COV (H)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.49
Price
£7.0m
#15 
Barry
FWD Everton
4.4
vs MUN (H)
1.64 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
1.06
Price
£5.5m
02
Best forward matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 
8 9 
10 
Haaland
vs COV (H) 1.53 xGA
5.5
£15.5m
Emersonn
vs LIV (H) 1.59 xGA
5.1
£5.5m
Gonzalo
vs CRY (H) 1.57 xGA
5
£6.0m
Thiago
vs SUN (H) 1.58 xGA
4.9
£8.0m
João Pedro
vs ARS (A) 1.51 xGA
4.5
£7.7m
Barry
vs MUN (H) 1.64 xGA
4.4
£5.5m
Calvert-Lewin
vs BHA (A) 1.60 xGA
4.4
£6.0m
Igor Jesus
vs TOT (H) 1.61 xGA
4.4
£5.9m
Isak
vs IPS (A) 1.56 xGA
4.2
£9.0m
Wissa
vs BOU (H) 1.57 xGA
4.1
£6.1m
03
Best midfielder matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Saka
vs CHE (H) 1.62 xGA
5.4
£9.5m
Gibbs-White
vs TOT (H) 1.61 xGA
5.1
£7.9m
B.Fernandes
vs EVE (A) 1.54 xGA
5
£12.0m
Enciso
vs LIV (H) 1.59 xGA
4.8
£5.5m
Cherki
vs COV (H) 1.53 xGA
4.7
£7.7m
Maeda
vs LIV (H) 1.59 xGA
4.6
£5.5m
Mbeumo
vs EVE (A) 1.54 xGA
4.4
£8.0m
Gomez
vs LEE (H) 1.59 xGA
4.4
£5.0m
Foden
vs COV (H) 1.53 xGA
4.4
£7.0m
Palmer
vs ARS (A) 1.51 xGA
4.3
£9.6m
04
How matchup scores work
Player Form (60%)
- Rating vs position average (1500 baseline)
- Recent form trend (form_diff)
- Expected goals per 90 minutes (xG/90)
Opponent Weakness (40%)
- Estimated xGA based on defensive player ratings
- Higher xGA = weaker defense = better matchup
- Home advantage provides 10% bonus
Note: xGA is estimated from team defensive ratings. Only attackers with 5+ games played and available status are included.