Regression Watch
Gameweek 30
Players whose actual output doesn't match their underlying stats. DUE = buy low, OVER = potential sell.
DUE
Due Goals
Underperforming xG - buy targets
1 
2 3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
8 9 
10 
11 
12 
13 
14 
15 
16 17 18 
19 
20
Brooks
MID Bournemouth £5.0m
1 goals from 5.5 npxG
-4.5
diff
0.18x
PvE
Form 0.8 1441
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth £6.8m
6 goals from 9.8 npxG
-3.8
diff
0.62x
PvE
Form 3.0 1523
Delap
FWD Chelsea £6.2m
1 goals from 4.7 npxG
-3.7
diff
0.21x
PvE
Form 1.0 1452
Watkins
FWD Aston Villa £8.5m
8 goals from 11.5 npxG
-3.5
diff
0.70x
PvE
Form 1.2 1498
Beto
FWD Everton £5.0m
4 goals from 7.2 npxG
-3.2
diff
0.56x
PvE
Form 3.5 1485
Martinelli
MID Arsenal £6.8m
1 goals from 4.1 npxG
-3.1
diff
0.25x
PvE
Form 1.8 1457
Van den Berg
DEF Brentford £4.5m
0 goals from 3.0 npxG
-3.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 3.8 1544
Garnacho
MID Chelsea £6.4m
1 goals from 3.8 npxG
-2.8
diff
0.26x
PvE
Form 2.2 1485
Mateta
FWD Crystal Palace £7.5m
8 goals from 10.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.62x
PvE
Form 0.2 1485
Igor Jesus
FWD Nott'm Forest £5.8m
2 goals from 4.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.44x
PvE
Form 3.5 1502
Amad
MID Man Utd £6.2m
2 goals from 4.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.44x
PvE
Form 1.2 1475
Struijk
DEF Leeds £4.3m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 3.5 1529
Odobert
MID Spurs £5.3m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.0 1456
Savinho
MID Man City £6.9m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.2 1442
Tolu
FWD Wolves £5.4m
2 goals from 4.4 npxG
-2.4
diff
0.39x
PvE
Form 1.4 1456
J.Arias
MID Wolves £4.9m
1 goals from 3.3 npxG
-2.3
diff
0.30x
PvE
Form 0.0 1457
Mosquera
DEF Wolves £4.3m
0 goals from 2.1 npxG
-2.1
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 3.4 1486
King
MID Fulham £4.4m
0 goals from 2.0 npxG
-2.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 1.8 1449
Hume
DEF Sunderland £4.5m
0 goals from 2.0 npxG
-2.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 3.2 1504
Yeremy
MID Crystal Palace £5.8m
2 goals from 4.0 npxG
-2.0
diff
0.50x
PvE
Form 1.2 1450
OVER
Overperforming
Overperforming xG - sell/caution
1 
2 3 4 
5 6 7 
8 9 
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Bruno G.
MID Newcastle £6.8m
9 goals from 4.3 npxG
+4.8
diff
1.56x
PvE
Form 0.0 1688
Wilson
MID Fulham £6.0m
9 goals from 4.6 npxG
+4.4
diff
1.97x
PvE
Form 5.8 1661
Rogers
MID Aston Villa £7.5m
8 goals from 4.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.63x
PvE
Form 1.8 1553
L.Paquetá
MID West Ham £5.9m
4 goals from 0.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.64x
PvE
Form 0.0 1554
Richarlison
FWD Spurs £6.3m
9 goals from 5.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.52x
PvE
Form 4.0 1551
Dewsbury-Hall
MID Everton £5.1m
6 goals from 3.0 npxG
+3.0
diff
1.97x
PvE
Form 5.2 1638
Gravenberch
MID Liverpool £5.5m
4 goals from 1.1 npxG
+2.9
diff
3.60x
PvE
Form 2.5 1561
Kroupi.Jr
FWD Bournemouth £4.7m
8 goals from 5.1 npxG
+2.9
diff
1.56x
PvE
Form 1.8 1494
Anthony
MID Burnley £5.0m
7 goals from 4.2 npxG
+2.8
diff
1.68x
PvE
Form 4.8 1570
Iwobi
MID Fulham £6.4m
4 goals from 1.7 npxG
+2.3
diff
2.34x
PvE
Form 7.0 1626
Romero
DEF Spurs £5.0m
4 goals from 1.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
2.23x
PvE
Form 0.0 1580
Zubimendi
MID Arsenal £5.1m
5 goals from 2.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
1.77x
PvE
Form 2.8 1544
Szoboszlai
MID Liverpool £7.0m
5 goals from 2.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
1.39x
PvE
Form 5.8 1628
Cunha
MID Man Utd £8.0m
7 goals from 5.0 npxG
+2.0
diff
1.40x
PvE
Form 4.5 1587
Brobbey
FWD Sunderland £5.4m
5 goals from 3.0 npxG
+2.0
diff
1.65x
PvE
Form 0.8 1471
M.Fernandes
MID West Ham £5.5m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.85x
PvE
Form 2.5 1537
Cash
DEF Aston Villa £4.7m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.70x
PvE
Form 0.2 1480
R.Gomes
DEF Wolves £4.4m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.67x
PvE
Form 3.0 1487
BuendÃa
MID Aston Villa £5.3m
5 goals from 3.2 npxG
+1.8
diff
1.55x
PvE
Form 1.8 1484
Caicedo
MID Chelsea £5.7m
3 goals from 1.3 npxG
+1.7
diff
2.31x
PvE
Form 2.2 1530