Regression Watch
Gameweek 38
Players whose actual output doesn't match their underlying stats. DUE = buy low, OVER = potential sell.
DUE
Due Goals
Underperforming xG - buy targets
1 
2 3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
8 
9 10 11 12 
13 14 
15 16 17 18 
19 
20
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth £6.6m
6 goals from 11.8 npxG
-5.8
diff
0.51x
PvE
Form 2.0 1502
Brooks
MID Bournemouth £5.0m
1 goals from 6.5 npxG
-5.5
diff
0.15x
PvE
Form 0.5 1428
Martinelli
MID Arsenal £6.8m
1 goals from 5.4 npxG
-4.4
diff
0.19x
PvE
Form 4.0 1485
Delap
FWD Chelsea £6.2m
1 goals from 5.0 npxG
-4.0
diff
0.20x
PvE
Form 1.0 1433
Amad
MID Man Utd £6.2m
2 goals from 5.7 npxG
-3.7
diff
0.35x
PvE
Form 7.0 1583
Tolu
FWD Wolves £5.1m
3 goals from 6.7 npxG
-3.7
diff
0.40x
PvE
Form 1.0 1441
Muniz
FWD Fulham £5.3m
1 goals from 4.5 npxG
-3.5
diff
0.22x
PvE
Form 2.0 1455
Van den Berg
DEF Brentford £4.4m
0 goals from 3.3 npxG
-3.3
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 4.0 1558
Garnacho
MID Chelsea £6.4m
1 goals from 4.1 npxG
-3.1
diff
0.24x
PvE
Form 0.5 1441
Schade
MID Brentford £6.8m
8 goals from 11.1 npxG
-3.1
diff
0.68x
PvE
Form 4.0 1563
Mosquera
DEF Wolves £4.3m
0 goals from 3.0 npxG
-3.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 2.5 1461
Struijk
DEF Leeds £4.2m
0 goals from 3.0 npxG
-3.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.5 1460
Havertz
FWD Arsenal £7.3m
2 goals from 4.9 npxG
-2.9
diff
0.41x
PvE
Form 6.0 1536
Gakpo
MID Liverpool £7.3m
7 goals from 9.8 npxG
-2.8
diff
0.71x
PvE
Form 2.0 1521
King
MID Fulham £4.4m
1 goals from 3.8 npxG
-2.8
diff
0.26x
PvE
Form 1.0 1437
Wirtz
MID Liverpool £8.3m
5 goals from 7.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.66x
PvE
Form 1.0 1509
Calafiori
DEF Arsenal £5.6m
1 goals from 3.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.29x
PvE
Form 4.5 1592
Odobert
MID Spurs £5.3m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.0 1456
Yeremy
MID Crystal Palace £5.8m
2 goals from 4.4 npxG
-2.4
diff
0.46x
PvE
Form 2.5 1469
J.Arias
MID Wolves £4.9m
1 goals from 3.3 npxG
-2.3
diff
0.30x
PvE
Form 0.0 1457
OVER
Overperforming
Overperforming xG - sell/caution
1 
2 3 4 
5 
6 
7 8 
9 10 
11 
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Semenyo
MID Man City £8.0m
17 goals from 6.3 npxG
+10.7
diff
2.18x
PvE
Form 3.5 1653
Kroupi.Jr
FWD Bournemouth £4.7m
13 goals from 7.3 npxG
+5.7
diff
1.47x
PvE
Form 5.0 1561
Wilson
MID Fulham £5.8m
10 goals from 5.8 npxG
+4.2
diff
1.74x
PvE
Form 2.5 1585
Gibbs-White
MID Nott'm Forest £7.6m
15 goals from 10.9 npxG
+4.1
diff
1.29x
PvE
Form 9.0 1752
Bruno G.
MID Newcastle £6.9m
9 goals from 5.1 npxG
+3.9
diff
1.36x
PvE
Form 2.5 1613
Dewsbury-Hall
MID Everton £5.3m
8 goals from 4.3 npxG
+3.7
diff
1.85x
PvE
Form 2.0 1585
Gravenberch
MID Liverpool £5.4m
5 goals from 1.5 npxG
+3.5
diff
3.26x
PvE
Form 2.0 1542
L.Paquetá
MID West Ham £5.9m
4 goals from 0.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.64x
PvE
Form 0.0 1557
Cunha
MID Man Utd £8.1m
10 goals from 7.1 npxG
+2.9
diff
1.41x
PvE
Form 0.0 1602
Rogers
MID Aston Villa £7.3m
10 goals from 7.2 npxG
+2.8
diff
1.40x
PvE
Form 0.0 1632
Anthony
MID Burnley £5.0m
8 goals from 5.6 npxG
+2.4
diff
1.44x
PvE
Form 2.0 1511
Casemiro
MID Man Utd £5.8m
9 goals from 6.6 npxG
+2.4
diff
1.37x
PvE
Form 0.0 1645
Strand Larsen
FWD Crystal Palace £5.8m
4 goals from 1.6 npxG
+2.4
diff
1.29x
PvE
Form 2.0 1454
Rayan
MID Bournemouth £5.4m
5 goals from 2.7 npxG
+2.3
diff
1.87x
PvE
Form 2.5 1555
BuendÃa
MID Aston Villa £5.3m
6 goals from 3.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
1.59x
PvE
Form 6.0 1558
Romero
DEF Spurs £5.0m
4 goals from 1.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
2.18x
PvE
Form 0.0 1575
S.Bueno
DEF Wolves £4.4m
3 goals from 0.9 npxG
+2.1
diff
3.35x
PvE
Form 2.0 1495
Osula
FWD Newcastle £5.5m
7 goals from 4.9 npxG
+2.1
diff
1.42x
PvE
Form 7.5 1566
Stach
MID Leeds £4.8m
5 goals from 2.9 npxG
+2.1
diff
1.71x
PvE
Form 1.5 1562
Zubimendi
MID Arsenal £4.9m
5 goals from 2.9 npxG
+2.1
diff
1.70x
PvE
Form 1.5 1505