Davis
Ipswich Town · DEF · £4.0m
1502.5
Elo
1528 Z-Score
Latest · GW2
1502.5, up 11.9 after a goal and 4 defensive actions against Man Utd (A)
Overall rank
#69
of 364 on Z-Score
Excellent top 5% to 20% of the rated
DEF rank
#27
of 127 on Z-Score
Total Points
8
PPG
4.00
Z-Score: DEF points per game are compared against a 2.48 average , spread 0.90. Measured against 2025-26, 42 players, because too few players have cleared the minutes bar this season.
01
Upcoming fixtures
LIV (H) GW3
CRY (A) GW4
EVE (A) GW5
FUL (H) GW6
MCI (A) GW7
02
2026/27 gameweek by gameweek
Form 4.0
vs season average 0.0
Appearances 2
- GW2 Man Utd, away 6 pts 1502.5 Elo +11.9 rating change A goal4 defensive actions 1 BPS
- GW1 Sunderland, home 2 pts 1490.5 Elo -9.5 rating change 7 defensive actions 10 BPS
03
Season stats
Goals 1
Assists 0
Clean Sheets 0
Bonus 0
Minutes 180
04
Expected stats Expected goals and assists based on the quality of chances. Compares what a player 'should' score vs what they actually score.
xG
Expected Goals. Season total of goals expected based on shot quality. Compare to actual goals to see if clinical or unlucky. 0.66
xA
Expected Assists. Season total of assists expected based on key pass quality. Compare to actual assists. 0.11
xG/90
Expected Goals per 90 mins. Normalizes for minutes played. 0.5+ is very good for forwards, 0.3+ good for midfielders. 0.33
xA/90
Expected Assists per 90 mins. Normalizes for minutes played. 0.3+ is very good. Shows creative output rate. 0.05
Goals vs xG
Actual goals minus expected. Positive = clinical finisher beating xG. Negative = underperforming, may be due for positive regression. 1 from 0.7 xG +0.3
05
Ownership
5.1% of FPL squads have picked Davis
Percentage of FPL squads that have picked Davis right now.
06
Elo Glicko-style skill rating. It updates match by match and carries across seasons rather than resetting, so it is not a count of points scored.
Current
1500 is the baseline a player with no history starts from. Higher is a stronger record against the players they have faced. 1502.5
Peak, all time
The highest this rating has ever reached, counting every season the player has been rated in. A large gap between the peak and the current number means they are below their best. 1502.5
Peak, 2026/27 The highest this rating has reached through 2026/27 football alone. It fills in once a gameweek of this season has been rated, so it is empty for the whole of pre-season. 1502.5
Confidence
Rating Deviation. Lower = more confident rating. Higher = less data, rating may change quickly. 329 RD
Games, career
Appearances behind this rating, counted across every season the player has been rated in rather than this one alone. 2
Games, 2026/27 How many of those appearances are 2026/27 ones. The rating row cannot always separate the seasons, and where it cannot this says so rather than showing a zero. 2
Evidence
The bars beside an Elo say how much football is behind it. One bar is a rating built on a handful of matches, which can move a long way once games are played, and three bars is close to a full season of evidence behind the number. 2 games
Trend
Which way this rating is moving, measured across 2026/27 gameweeks alone. It needs two of them behind it, so before that it reads as not recorded rather than as steady. Rising
It is built on 2 games, so most of this rating is still the starting assumption every player begins from, with about 17 per cent of it measured. Expect it to move a long way once matches are played.
07
FAPR Fixture-Adjusted Performance Rating. Adjusts PPG based on opponent difficulty faced.
FAPR 0.33
Raw PPG 4.00
Adjustment
Positive = performed better vs tough opponents. Negative = stats boosted by easy fixtures. +0.28
Performs better against tough opposition than raw stats suggest.
08
PvE Performance vs Expected. Compares actual output to expected goals/assists. Shows if player is over or underperforming.
Ratio
Above 1.0 = scoring more than expected. Below 1.0 = scoring less than expected. 1.51x
Difference +0.3 goals
Elite finisher - significantly beating expected points.
09
Edge factor
Clinical Converts chances at elite rate - beating xG/xA expectations
10
Elo history
GW1
1491
GW2
1503